Kenyan presidential election, 2012
Kenyan presidential election, 2012
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Presidential elections will be held in Kenya either on 14 August 2012 or December 2012 depending on a court ruling to be issued on 13 January 2012. Parliamentary elections will be held on the same date.
Incumbent President Mwai Kibaki's second and final term comes to an end on or before December 31, 2012[1][2]. This will be the first presidential election under the new constitution that was passed during the 2010 referendum. Due to the terms of the new constitution, it could also be the first presidential election in Kenya where the candidates face a second round between the first and the second if none achieves simple (50%+1 vote)majority in the first round or if the winner does not get 25% of the votes in at least 24 counties.
Prospective Candidates
The following are some of the candidates who have made public their intentions to run or speculated to run by media analysts and polling organizations:
Opinion Polling
| Pollster |
Date |
Sample |
Raila Odinga |
Kalonzo Musyoka |
Uhuru Kenyatta |
Martha Karua |
William Ruto |
Eugene Wamalwa |
| Ipsos-Synovate |
Oct 15-23, 2011 |
2000 |
34% |
9% |
24% |
5% |
10% |
2% |
| Infotrak Harris Poll |
Sept 20-23, 2011 |
1500 |
41% |
9% |
19% |
11% |
7% |
2% |
| Smart Octopus Limited |
August 15, 2011 |
-- |
26% |
16% |
23% |
3% |
19% |
6% |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
July 15, 2011 |
3070 |
42.6% |
9.5% |
21.4% |
7.8% |
8.3% |
-- |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
April 15, 2011 |
-- |
38% |
18% |
13% |
6% |
8% |
3% |
| Research International |
March 24, 2011 |
-- |
33% |
12% |
14% |
2% |
12% |
2% |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
February 9, 2011 |
-- |
34% |
8% |
16% |
7% |
6% |
2% |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
December 24, 2010 |
-- |
42% |
12% |
14% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
September 24, 2010 |
-- |
47% |
8% |
10% |
5% |
6% |
1% |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
July 23, 2010 |
-- |
36% |
12% |
8% |
5% |
11% |
1% |
| Infotrak Research & Consulting |
August 15, 2010 |
-- |
46% |
6% |
12% |
6% |
10% |
-- |
| Synovate Research Reinvented |
October, 2009 |
-- |
31% |
14% |
10% |
8% |
7% |
-- |
References
- ^ PROFILE-Kenya's President Mwai Kibaki REUTERS, February 18, 2011
- ^ The Constitution of Kenya Parliament of The Republic of Kenya, August 27, 2010
- ^ Why PM’s tour to central Kenya is causing jitters Daily Nation, February 6 2010
- ^ VP Kalonzo kicks off campaign for 2012 presidency Daily Nation, October 12, 2010
- ^ PROFILE-Kenya's Finance Minister Uhuru Kenyatta REUTERS, February 18, 2011
- ^ Ruto says he will run for president in 2012 Daily Nation, October 19, 2009
- ^ Narc-K party to seek presidency on its own Daily Nation, September 26, 2010
- ^ [http://www.politikenya.com/news_article/atrc_display.php?news_story=14
- ^ http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/nov/02/president-kenya-kingwa-kamencu